Six Degrees of Separation, Twitter Style
Over the past year, we've spent a lot of time exploring Twitter, and one of the things we've been curious about is how connected people are to each other within the Twitter network.
So, we sliced and diced more than 5.2 billion Twitter friendships (the number of friend and follower relationships) to investigate the connectivity of the Twitter network. We discovered that Twitter is, in many, ways a network with only five degrees of separation. This means that nearly everyone on Twitter is just five steps away from each other. We describe this separation between two people as "friendship distance".
Here are our major findings:
- The most common friendship distance is five steps. (The average distance is 4.67 steps)
- The second most common friendship distance is four steps.
- On average, about 50% of people on Twitter are only four steps away from each other, while nearly everyone is five steps away.
- After visiting an average of 3.32 people within the friend network, Twitter users can expect to find one of their followers!
The "Six Degrees of Separation" theory was created by Hungarian author, Frigyes Karinthy, in the early 20th century. In the 1960s, U.S. social psychologist Stanley Milgram did a series of "small-world experiments" to estimate the average distance between individuals within a social network.
In his small world experiments, Milgram randomly selected 240 people living in U.S. cities. These people were sent letters that included information about another person (aka the target person), who they likely didn't know. The 240 people were asked to forward the letter to a friend, who they thought might know the target person. When a letter finally reached the target person, Milgram counted how many times it had been forwarded to determine the number of "steps" needed to reach the target person. Of the 60 letters that made it to the target person, the average number of steps was 5.5 to 6, which provided evidence for six degrees of separation.
The graphics below provide examples of friendship separation. Each circle represents a user on Twitter. The intersection between two circles represents a friend relationship.
Twitter Friendship Distance
On average, Twitter users have five degrees of separation between each other - meaning nearly everyone within Twitter is only five steps away. Of all friendship distances, five steps is the most common (41%), while a friendship distance of four steps is the second-most common (37%).
Here is a pie chart that shows the different Twitter friendship distances:
The table below shows the number of steps between Twitters users, and the percentage of total Twitter friendships within a specific number of steps.
Reach-ability of the Twitter network
One way to measure the connectedness of Twitter is by looking at the percentage of Twitter users that can be touched by reaching out a certain distance. Using the Twitter network graph, we discovered that, on average, a Twitter user will encounter 83% of all other Twitter users by visiting everyone's friends up to a distance of five steps. If the user visits all friends of friends up to six steps, 96% of all Twitter users will be covered. This means, the Twitter network has good social connectivity, and that, in theory, a re-tweet (RT) does not have to propagate that much to reach a potentially large number of people!
The table below shows the reach-ability of the Twitter network by the number of steps. The more you reach out on Twitter; the percentage of all Twitters users discovered grows exponentially.
Local-ness of the Twitter network
How far does a Twitter user have to roam before they meet a follower of their own? Apparently, not that far. We discovered it only takes 3.32 steps to find someone who is following you (with a standard deviation of 1.25 friendship distances). This means, if you trace your friends, and their friends and so on, in 3.32 steps on average you will discover a follower of your own. This means, there are many small, circular connections on Twitter.
Sysomos created the Twitter network by connecting users with their friends. These twitter users were extracted from the large database of conversations we use for our social media monitoring and analytics offerings MAP and Heartbeat. We examined 5.2 billion friendship connections on the Twitter network. Based on our analysis of this network, we discovered how connected the users are to each other.
Sysomos is the social intelligence company backed by data science that gives businesses immediate context to the hundreds of millions of conversations happening online every day. The Sysomos social intelligence platform continuously decodes these conversations and news stories to give marketers real-time answers about what their customers think and feel. More than 1,400 global brands and agencies including United Health Group, 3M, Boeing, Edelman, Genetech, Marriott and Ogilvy trust Sysomos for their social intelligence. Sysomos has offices in seven cities worldwide, including London, New York, San Francisco and Toronto.
MAP is like the search engine for social media. Listening tools give you snapshots of social activity, based on complex queries you must build carefully in advance. With Sysomos MAP, simply type in your keyword, and instantly see results, including reach and context for your topic today and historically. Unlimited searches, unlimited results, no surprise costs.
You wouldn’t run a website without web analytics, so your social strategy needs strong analytics, too. Know what your customers are saying, when a crisis is brewing, how healthy your reputation is, what products matter to your community and who is influential in your space. And it’s all real-time, because the social web doesn’t wait.